Bay Area Home Prices Hold Steady as Sales Volume Drops

The Marin County real estate market—and the whole Bay Area—took a sharp turn in July 2025. Summer usually brings a burst of activity, but this year, sales slowed down even though there are more homes for sale from Sausalito to Novato.

Higher mortgage rates, ongoing affordability struggles, and shifting buyer moods have cooled what used to be a wild, competitive scene. In places like Mill Valley, San Rafael, and Tiburon, buyers and sellers are facing a new reality that feels a lot calmer than the chaos of recent years.

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Summer Inventory Rises Across Marin County

In towns like Fairfax, Corte Madera, and Larkspur, more homes popped up for sale this summer than in past seasons. Local agents say this uptick is giving buyers more options—think charming bungalows in San Anselmo or hillside estates in Belvedere.

Normally, a bigger selection would kick off bidding wars, just like we saw for most of the last decade. But that’s not quite happening now.

More Choices, But Less Urgency

Even with all these new listings, buyers aren’t exactly rushing in. In the past, a hot property in Marinwood or Ross might have disappeared in days, maybe even hours.

Now, homes are sitting longer, and open houses in Greenbrae and Kentfield feel a bit quieter. Sellers have to work harder—more staging, tweaking prices, and getting creative with marketing to spark interest.

Why Buyer Demand is Cooling

Market analysts and agents keep circling back to the same thing: affordability is a huge hurdle in Marin County and nearby areas. Even with more homes available, plenty of first-time buyers—especially in pricey spots like Tiburon—just can’t make the math work.

Rising mortgage rates only make it harder, squeezing what buyers can handle every month.

Mortgage Rate Impact

Higher rates aren’t just abstract numbers; they can mean hundreds or thousands more in monthly payments. For example, a two-point jump might push a San Rafael condo out of reach for some buyers.

This reality puts a damper on enthusiasm. Many would-be buyers are just waiting it out, hoping things get better, so homes from Marin City to Dillon Beach aren’t seeing those wild bidding wars anymore.

Shifting Tides for Sellers

Sellers hoping to cash out now face tougher odds. The days when Mill Valley homes drew a dozen offers over asking are pretty much gone.

Now, sellers need smart pricing, patience, and sometimes even incentives—like paying closing costs or offering rate buydowns—to get deals done.

A Different Dynamic Than Recent Years

Not long ago, places like Fairfax and Novato saw buyers waving inspections and throwing down cash. Today, sellers are bracing for negotiations that lean in the buyer’s favor.

The fever-pitch atmosphere of the pandemic boom feels like a distant memory.

Will the Slowdown Extend Into Autumn?

Analysts are watching to see if this cooling trend keeps rolling into fall. Marin County usually slows down a bit after Labor Day, but if rates stay high, things could get even quieter.

From Stinson Beach to Terra Linda, people are watching open house turnout, offer counts, and price drops to guess what’s next for the market.

Finding Opportunities in a Balanced Market

Some people see the slowdown as a concern. Others look at it as a new opening.

Buyers in West Marin might find more room to negotiate. They can even secure contingencies that felt out of reach just a few years ago.

Sellers who stay flexible may still find success. It helps to target the right audience and show off their homes in the best light possible.

If you’d like, I can also give you an **SEO keyword list** to optimize this blog post for Marin County real estate searches. Would you like me to do that?
 
Here is the source article for this story: Bay Area home prices flat while sales volume declines

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Joe Hughes
Joe Harris is the founder of MarinCountyVisitor.com, a comprehensive online resource inspired by his passion for Marin County's natural beauty, diverse communities, and rich cultural offerings. Combining his love for exploration with his intimate local knowledge, Joe curates an authentic guide to the area featuring guides on Marin County Cities, Things to Do, and Places to Stay. Follow Joe on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram.
 

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